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Promet - Traffic&Transportation journal

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

PUBLISHED
16.12.2019
LICENSE
Copyright (c) 2024 Meisam Siamidoudaran, Ersun İşçioğlu

Injury Severity Prediction of Traffic Collision by Applying a Series of Neural Networks: The City of London Case Study

Authors:

Meisam Siamidoudaran

Ersun İşçioğlu

Keywords:road safety, traffic crash, injury severity prediction, contributory factors

Abstract

This paper focuses on predicting injury severity of a driver or rider by applying multi-layer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine (SVM), and a hybrid MLP-SVM method. By correlating the injury severity results and the influences that support their creation, this study was able to determine the key influences affecting the injury severity. The result indicated that the vehicle type, vehicle manoeuvre, lack of necessary crossing facilities for cyclists, 1st point of impact, and junction actions had a greater effect on the likelihood of injury severity. Following this indication, by maximising the prediction accuracies, a comparison between the models was made through exerting the most sensitive predictors in order to evaluate the models’ performance against each other. The outcomes specified that the proposed hybrid model achieved a significant improvement in terms of prediction accuracy compared with other models.

References

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How to Cite
Siamidoudaran, M. (et al.) 2019. Injury Severity Prediction of Traffic Collision by Applying a Series of Neural Networks: The City of London Case Study. Traffic&Transportation Journal. 31, 6 (Dec. 2019), 643-654. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7307/ptt.v31i6.3032.

SPECIAL ISSUE IS OUT

Guest Editor: Eleonora Papadimitriou, PhD

Editors: Marko Matulin, PhD, Dario Babić, PhD, Marko Ševrović, PhD


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