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Promet - Traffic&Transportation journal

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

PUBLISHED
11.12.2019
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Copyright (c) 2024 Siyuan Zhang, Zhang, Siyuan , , Shijun Yu, Yu, Shijun , , Shejun Deng, Deng, Shejun , , Qinghui Nie, Nie, Qinghui , , Pengpeng Zhang, Zhang, Pengpeng , , Chen Chen, Chen, Chen ,

Dynamic Demand Forecast and Assignment Model for Bike-and-Ride System

Authors:Siyuan Zhang, Zhang, Siyuan , , Shijun Yu, Yu, Shijun , , Shejun Deng, Deng, Shejun , , Qinghui Nie, Nie, Qinghui , , Pengpeng Zhang, Zhang, Pengpeng , , Chen Chen, Chen, Chen ,

Abstract

Bike-and-Ride (B&R) has long been considered as an effective way to deal with urbanization-related issues such as traffic congestion, emissions, equality, etc. Although there are some studies focused on the B&R demand forecast, the influencing factors from previous studies have been excluded from those forecasting methods. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a new B&R demand forecast model considering the influencing factors as dynamic rather than fixed ones to reach higher forecasting accuracy. This model is tested in a theoretical network to validate the feasibility and effectiveness and the results show that the generalised cost does have an effect on the demand for the B&R system.

Keywords:Bike-and-Ride, dynamic demand, generalised cost, user equilibrium model, Frank-Wolfe algorithm

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