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Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

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PUBLISHED
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DOI
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ISSUE
2012 (Vol 24), Issue 4
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Copyright (c) 2024 Valentina Radojičić, Goran Marković, Milan Janković, Borko Drašković
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NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Broadband Traffic Forecasting in the Transport Network

Authors:

Valentina Radojičić

Goran Marković

Milan Janković

Borko Drašković

Keywords:broadband technologies, competitive forecasting method, market, network, traffic,

Abstract

This paper proposes a modification of traffic forecast model generated by residential and small business (SOHO, Small Office Home Office) users. The model includes forecasted values of different relevant factors and competition on broadband market. It allows forecasting the number of users for various broadband technologies and interaction impact of long-standing technologies as well as the impact of the new technology entrant on the market. All the necessary parameters are evaluated for the Serbian broadband market. The long-term forecasted results of broadband traffic are given. The analyses and evaluations performed are important inputs for the transport network resources planning.

References

  1. Stordahl, K.: Long-term telecommunication forecasting, Ph.D. thesis, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway, 2006

    Dischinger, M.: Making Broadband Access Networks Transparent to Researchers, Developers, and Users, Ph.D. thesis, University of Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany, June 2010

    OECD Broadband Portal, 2009. Available at: http://www.oecd.org/sti/ict/broadband

    Windsor Oaks Group, Market Outlook Report: Global Fixed Broadband Subscriber Forecast, 2009. Available at: http://www.broadbandtrends.com/Report_Summary/BBT_GlobalBBOutlook_091140_Summary.htm

    Rappoport, P., Alleman, J., Taylor, L.: Forecasting the Spatial Deployment of FiOS, Telektronikk, Vol.104, No. 3/4, 2008, pp. 29–36

    Hoven, G.: Open fiber-to-the-home networks in Europe, IEEE LEOS Newsletter, 2008, pp. 13-14

    Larsen, C.P.: Access network technologies: deployments in Sweden, 33rd European Conference on Optical Communication, Berlin, Germany, No. 1, pp. 39-42, September 2007

    Cam

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How to Cite
Radojičić, V. (et al.) 1900. Broadband Traffic Forecasting in the Transport Network. Traffic&Transportation Journal. 24, 4 (Jan. 1900), 275-284. DOI: https://doi.org/.

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