Let's Connect
Follow Us
Watch Us
(+385) 1 2380 262
journal.prometfpz.unizg.hr
Promet - Traffic&Transportation journal

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

PUBLISHED
19.06.2013
LICENSE
Copyright (c) 2024 Xuecai Xu, Ahmad Kouhpanejade, Željko Šarić

Analysis on Influencing Factors Identification of Crash Rates Using Tobit Model with Endogenous Variable

Authors:Xuecai Xu, Ahmad Kouhpanejade, Željko Šarić

Abstract

The objective of this study is to identify the influencing factors of crash rates from the perspective of access management techniques in urban areas. The target areas are located in the Las Vegas Metropolitan area, and 19 arterials are selected. In order to address the interdependency between crash rates and travel speeds, and left-censored issue, a tobit model with endogenous variable is presented. The structure of the tobit model addresses the left-censored issue for the segments meanwhile the endogeneity issue between crash rates and travel speeds is explained. The results indicate that there is a strong interdependency between crash rates and travel speeds. The segment length, driveway density, median opening density, posted speed limit and AADT per lane are statistically significant factors that influence crash rates on segments, moreover, crash rates are significantly influenced by two-directional median opening density. 

Keywords:

References

  1. Lord, D., Mannering, F.L. The Statistical Analysis of Crash-Frequency Data: A Review and Assessment of Methodological Alternatives. Transportation Research Part A, Vol.44, No. 5, 2010, pp. 291–305.

    Anastasopoulos, P. Ch., Mannering, F.L., Shankar V.N., Haddock, J. E. A Study of Factors Affecting Highway Accident Rates Using the Random-parameters Tobit model. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 45, 2012, pp. 628-633.

    Anastasopoulos, P. Ch., Tarko, A.P., Mannering, F.L. Tobit Analysis of Behicle Accident Rates on Interstate Highways. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.40, No. 2, 2008, pp.768–775.

    Washington, S.P., Karlaftis, M.G., Mannering, F.L. Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis, Chapman & Hall/CRC, New York, 2003.

    Xu, X. Evaluation of the Safety Impact of Access Management in Urban Areas, Dissertation: University of Nevada, Las Vegas, U.S.A., 2010.

    Xu, X., Kwigizile, V., Teng H. Evaluating the Safety Impact of Access Management Techniques in Urban Areas. 91st Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC., U.S.A., January 2012.

    Nelson, F., Olson, L. Specification and Estimation of a Simultaneous-equation Model with Limited Dependent Variables. International Economic Review, Vol.19, No. 3, 1978, pp. 695-709.

    Amemiya, T. The Estimation of a Simultaneous-equation Tobit model. International Economic Review, Vol.20, No. 1, 1979, pp.169-181.

    Maddala, G. S., Limited-Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1983.

    Newey, W.K. Efficient Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models with Endogenous Explanatory Variables. Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 36, 1987, pp. 231-250

    Lee, L. Amemiya’s Generalized Least Squares and Tests of Over-identification in Simultaneous Equation Models with Qualitative or Limited Dependent Variables. Discussion paper No.262, Center for Economic research, University of Minnesota, MN, 1991.

    Smith, R J., Blundell R.W. An Exogeneity Test for a Simultaneous Equation Tobit Model with an Application to Labor Supply. Econometrica, Vol.54, No. 3, 1986, pp. 679-685.

    Yoo, S. H. Analyzing Household Bottled Water and Water Purifier Expenditures: Simultaneous Equation Bivariate Tobit Model. Applied Economics Letter, Vol.12, No. 5, 2005, pp. 297-301.

    Tobin, J. Estimation of relationships for limited dependent variables. Econometrica, Vol.26, No. 1, 1958, pp.24–36.

    Davidson, R., MacKinnon, J.G. Econometric Theory and Methods. Oxford University Press, New York, 2004.

    Chin, H., Quddus, M. A. Applying the Random Effect Negative Binomial Model to Examine Traffic Accident Occurrence at Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.35, No. 2, 2003, pp. 253–259.

    Poch, M., Mannering, F. L. Negative Binomial Analysis of Intersection-accident Frequencies. Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol.122, No. 2, 1996, pp.105–113.

    Gluck, J., Levinson, H. S., Stover V. NCHRP Report 420: Impact of Access Management Techniques, Transportation Research RecordBoard, National Research Council, Washington, DC. U.S.A.1999.

    Access Management Manual (ACM); Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, D.C. U.S.A. 2003.

    Schultz, G. G., Lewis, J. S., Boschert, T. Safety Impact of Access Management Techniques in Utah. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1994, 2007, pp. 35-42.

Show more


Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science |
2024 © Promet - Traffic&Transportation journal